Informal-Appeal
0x0ac96363f6d388ac1c167754bcfd31f1c8e40d4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$17.71
Total PnL
$6.47
Realised
$5.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 1 - 2 Grêmio Novorizontino?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$15.00
$0.90
- NO
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 85.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.71
$-0.24
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Operário Ferroviário EC 1 - 2 Grêmio Novorizontino?$14.14Jul 12, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMIFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 5.5$12.00Jul 12, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIFK Goteborg vs. AIK: O/U 5.5$11.18Jul 5, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5$0.00Jul 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5$15.84Jun 23, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5$20.00Jun 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5$18.44Jun 17, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan win on 2026-06-07?$14.00Jun 17, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5$17.00Jun 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5$15.35Jun 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-07?$13.32Jun 7, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMCA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5$11.00Jun 7, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMSantos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 0.5$16.00Jun 7, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSantos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 0.5$15.22May 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5$10.47May 21, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMCarabobo FC vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5$10.00May 21, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Adelaide United FC 2 - 0 Auckland FC?$15.00May 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Adelaide United FC 2 - 0 Auckland FC?$14.27May 15, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCarabobo FC vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5$9.42May 7, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$3.69Mar 31, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $323.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.