Variable-Path
0x0ad3b04ad47e13c082598ecaaeebc1748aae4609
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$209.07
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$209.07
$0.55
- RAMS
Rams vs. Seahawks
6013 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- RANGERS
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
1108 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-354.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
147 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-119.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$208.52Jun 9, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$208.54May 29, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$200.20May 17, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$200.59May 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$191.36Apr 9, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$191.36Apr 8, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$186.19Mar 22, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$186.20Mar 22, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$179.68Mar 2, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$179.68Mar 2, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$93.99Feb 11, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$69.70Feb 11, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$163.69Feb 6, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$155.51Jan 16, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 12?$155.50Jan 16, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $323.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.