0x0ad560f4b0ad3a4a7db899f211174a2aeb33423b
0x0ad560f4b0ad3a4a7db899f211174a2aeb33423b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$18.71
Total PnL
$-23.11
Realised
$-7.67
Win rate
15%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- AUSTRALIA
Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.99
$-0.00
- ALGERIA
Spread: Austria (-2.5)
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.96
$-0.01
- NO
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.95
$0.01
- UNDER
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia 1st Half O/U 1.5
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.92
$0.02
- UNDER
Algeria vs. Austria: Austria O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.90
$0.00
- ALGERIA
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.87
$-0.01
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5
1 shares @ 34.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.84
$0.50
- UNDER
Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.81
$-0.01
- UNDER
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5
1 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.81
$-0.08
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.77
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$2.04Jun 24, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMTargu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passaro$0.00Jun 24, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.19Jun 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.22Jun 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTargu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passaro$50.98Jun 24, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$15.87Jun 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.36Jun 24, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$36.59Jun 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$30.68Jun 24, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$3.41Jun 24, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$8.26Jun 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$4.70Jun 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.35Jun 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$6.14Jun 24, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$7.01Jun 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$54.35Jun 24, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
33 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $11.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 12:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.