Inferior-Tracksuit
0x0ae3ae5301026d6b9792964b9f08e661c90a70e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$58.70
Total PnL
$-41.46
Realised
$4.12
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.64
$0.61
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.19
$0.19
- NETHERLANDS
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves$2.03Jun 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees$2.03Jun 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maghreb AS de Fès vs. RS Berkane end in a draw?$1.87Jun 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$2.03Jun 21, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5$2.02Jun 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Netherlands (-1.5)$2.02Jun 21, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Athletics$4.88Jun 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaja Club Athletic vs. COD Meknès: O/U 2.5$2.03Jun 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaja Club Athletic vs. COD Meknès: O/U 1.5$2.02Jun 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5)$1.77Jun 21, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$2.01Jun 21, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$2.01Jun 21, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-21?$2.02Jun 21, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.83Jun 21, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill COD Meknès win on 2026-06-21?$2.00Jun 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.66Jun 21, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$13.33Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-21?$2.04Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raja Club Athletic (-1.5)$2.02Jun 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Athletics$2.04Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.