Mild-Casualty
0x0aea320ab924caffe9b9ede3b4b323c5726fd1cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-362.00
Realised
$1.90
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ET
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.00
$0.70
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
4111 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-148.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
2317 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET
2058 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET
1980 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-44.22
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
1671 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.34
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
600 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET$0.96Mar 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 10, 4AM ET$2.24Mar 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.02Mar 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$0.07Mar 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$0.55Mar 10, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$1.30Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$0.16Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$1.55Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$0.31Mar 10, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$2.04Mar 10, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$0.65Mar 10, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$10.49Mar 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$5.11Mar 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$30.75Mar 10, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.05Mar 10, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$7.00Mar 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3AM ET$7.10Mar 10, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".