Costly-Transfer
0x0af1fcf2830f89def8c01b7b3ee40e00706210f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
51 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-0.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
10573 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
3358 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
3240 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
3143 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
3080 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2780 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2594 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2537 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.36Apr 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Apr 1, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.03Feb 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.00Jan 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Jan 6, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.04Jan 6, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.00Dec 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 9, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.03Dec 9, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT. by Rosé and Bruno Mars be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$51.50Nov 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.08Nov 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$42.92Nov 12, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Nov 7, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.2KNov 7, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.6KNov 7, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $812.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".