Hairy-Vest
0x0af201cda1d94ffafe05fec3cc3f70ac37559886
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.89
Total PnL
$-15.86
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 26.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.87
$-2.13
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 29.8¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.37
$-2.63
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
559 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.15
$-2.35
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
222 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.05May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.05May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.05May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.14May 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$6.56May 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.95May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$2.58May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.10May 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.16May 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$12.56May 11, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.13May 9, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$1.97May 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$5.14May 4, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.00May 2, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$5.18May 2, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.15May 1, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$22.91May 1, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$3.00Apr 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".