Joyous-Realm
0x0af29cc14fb231218c8d005685ac3db427a1ce86
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.95
Realised
$-109.02
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?
368 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-53.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?
332 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-252.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?
261 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?
24 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?
10 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.53Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.38Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.55Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.40Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.85Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$35.76Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.29Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.12Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.00Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.30Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.70Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 25, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?$5.20Jun 25, 00:39 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.79Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.56Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.59Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.64Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.58Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.35Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.31Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $95.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.