Grounded-Thermals
0x0af7173ff4fcb0d1f49d5a0e0d5702d1833f8218
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$254.98
Total PnL
$-191.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 6?
49 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$49.12
$2.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 6?
47 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$46.81
$0.70
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?
46 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$45.61
$1.37
- YES
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
37 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$37.00
$1.52
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?
29 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$29.06
$1.74
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
27 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.39
$1.37
- NO
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$19.99
$1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 18?
283 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 4?
278 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 2?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?$213.50Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?$211.15May 31, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 6?$57.75May 31, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$173.30May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$171.74May 24, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 6?$64.40May 24, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$1.82May 22, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$114.96May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$0.25May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$112.76May 17, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 5?$64.61May 17, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$77.42May 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$1.43May 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$75.25May 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$77.81May 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 13?$0.00Apr 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?$0.06Apr 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?$27.26Apr 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 November 17-23?$0.00Apr 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$75.32Apr 15, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $51.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".