Lively-Implication
0x0afb94b57f59975a2f3c1adab87aea9b9128f5ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$1.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
520 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$520.00
$0.52
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
390 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$390.09
$1.26
- NO
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?
381 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$381.06
$2.58
- YES
Will Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
520 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will 'Wi$h Li$t' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?$378.48Mar 29, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$519.48Mar 26, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?$388.83Mar 24, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$520.00Mar 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$514.80Mar 14, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win Miss Universe 2025?$600.60Nov 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win Miss Universe 2025?$598.20Nov 19, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.08Nov 9, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 1?$210.00Nov 3, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$239.52Nov 3, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Feldman win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$239.52Nov 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 1?$209.58Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?$110.00Oct 29, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$188.18Oct 29, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $25m?$240.34Oct 29, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rikuya Hoshino win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?$570.00Oct 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$128.83Oct 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$129.09Oct 23, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wi$h Li$t' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?$1.26Oct 9, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?$109.56Sep 27, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $210.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".