Shady-Pate
0x0b033cb257681bacade7201a0da5dd49c796f3a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.17
Total PnL
$-3.61
Realised
$-0.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.67
$0.00
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.81
$-0.19
- YES
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.86
$0.86
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.52
$0.00
- NO
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$289.42Nov 14, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?$1.06Nov 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.00Nov 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$2.00Nov 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 15?$4.00Nov 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$294.38Nov 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$301.78Nov 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$303.60Nov 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?$1.00Sep 26, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$2.00Sep 26, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$1.01Sep 26, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.04Sep 26, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?$1.25Sep 26, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI social app before June?$2.08Sep 26, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran in April?$2.20Sep 26, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?$1.00Apr 3, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran in April?$2.00Apr 3, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jude Bellingham break up with his GF before April?$0.00Apr 3, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump ban federal workers from editing Wikipedia?$0.00Apr 3, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $36.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.