Hideous-Cosset
0x0b05323d6dd6bce90500bb5fc2eade0982a18983
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$538.91
Total PnL
$-405.20
Realised
$289.33
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$237.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$73.50
$-35.50
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
32 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$32.11
$0.85
- NO
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.98
$-0.01
- YES
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.50
$8.50
- YES
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
463 shares @ 0.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.10
$4.63
- YES
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- NO
Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$10.50Jun 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$12.50Jun 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$46.96Jun 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$21.05Jun 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$14.25Jun 17, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$5.50Jun 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$31.25Jun 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$0.75Jun 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$3.95Jun 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$27.75Jun 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$2.91Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$6.18Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$5.97Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$5.76Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$5.66Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$6.18Jun 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$6.60Jun 17, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.