Near-Watchmaker
0x0b098cd2bf38ca97ef1e3f960e65049cfb1a3b40
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$20.98
Total PnL
$0.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
3 shares @ 66.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.99
$0.99
- YES
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2 shares @ 51.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.94
$0.94
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.91
$0.91
- YES
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.15
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Feb 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Feb 5, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?$1.00Jan 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $500K committed to the Sol Raffle public sale?$1.00Jan 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?$1.00Jan 5, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFootball.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Dec 18, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NFT #1082 win the Based trading competition?$1.00Dec 9, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Nov 27, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Nov 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 12, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$1.08Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.11Nov 6, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Nov 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?$1.00Oct 15, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the AL East Division?$1.33Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.96Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Oct 8, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".