Political-Clarinet
0x0b0c51f339ca2741ba170452db369063902079a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$777.81
Total PnL
$-342.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1170 shares @ 25.6¢·now 26.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$308.98
$8.98
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2198 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$207.69
$7.69
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
148 shares @ 67.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.32
$3.32
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.40
$-1.60
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
219 shares @ 22.8¢·now 21.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.96
$-1.04
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$-2.75
- YES
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2023$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
750 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.49Jun 4, 21:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.12May 30, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?$0.92May 30, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$102.37May 30, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.38May 30, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00May 30, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$51.06May 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$50.38May 30, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$51.54May 30, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.49May 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$102.97May 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$102.97May 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$101.29May 30, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$207.27May 30, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $67.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".