Sentimental-Phenomenon
0x0b0f92507bbc340762d38eca43eba1e11ee37af1
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$45.74
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-28.85
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
68 shares @ 50.8¢·now 50.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$34.24
$-0.45
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.49
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$15.05Jul 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$20.49Jul 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$14.60Jul 21, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.47Jul 14, 21:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$1.00Jul 7, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.08Jul 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.49Jul 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.18Jul 7, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.18Jul 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.66Jul 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.04Jul 7, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.02Jul 7, 15:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.