Wild-Designer
0x0b17134284865c16ea2d4ef8e6ea332ebb1369a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.56
Total PnL
$-31.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$2.56
$1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London between 41-42°F on February 1?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will another movie gross most in 2024?
311 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.40Oct 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$2.30Apr 13, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$2.00Apr 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.00Feb 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London between 41-42°F on February 1?$6.00Feb 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$4.00Jan 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.00Jan 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$2.00Jan 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton wins the Premier League?$1.00Jan 8, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.27Dec 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Balatro' win Game of the Year?$1.81Dec 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another movie gross most in 2024?$2.80Dec 5, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.