Snarling-Congressperson
0x0b177230077c371fa2e6a3837ad0b0aeff6ad1f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$290.00
Total PnL
$-16.40
Realised
$-8.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
160 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$160.00
$1.60
- GERMANY
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)
130 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$130.00
$1.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
360 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
282 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
201 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
83 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
61 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?
13 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$120.00Jul 3, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?$1.44Apr 24, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$88.20Apr 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$79.52Apr 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$79.84Apr 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$128.83Apr 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?$128.44Apr 7, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.80 in March?$0.50Mar 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ghana (-1.5)$128.57Mar 30, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$158.40Mar 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in March?$9.50Mar 25, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$130.00Dec 16, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of November?$190.00Dec 16, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$128.83Dec 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of November?$189.43Nov 25, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 18?$200.00Nov 23, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 18?$198.00Nov 15, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$39.92Nov 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$39.92Nov 3, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?$0.20Oct 30, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $162.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.