Cautious-Validity
0x0b2d2650f08423cae3b03bdd43210b704f0640ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.80
Total PnL
$-13.79
Realised
$-12.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.80
$0.01
- NO
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.47
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$1.44
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 22?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$1.29
$0.06
- NO
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.22
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$1.20
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$1.16
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on February 22?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$1.13
$0.00
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$1.20Feb 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.16Feb 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.18Feb 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.8KFeb 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.8KFeb 21, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$7.1KFeb 21, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on February 22?$1.13Feb 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 22?$1.23Feb 21, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$7.1KFeb 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 21, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.6KFeb 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.44Feb 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.23Feb 21, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".