0x0b446978705ffeb39a4ea68196fc2c3b0cf98ae3
0x0b446978705ffeb39a4ea68196fc2c3b0cf98ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.19
Total PnL
$-5.54
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$2.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.00
$0.80
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$4.23Jun 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.00Jun 11, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$3.05Jun 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.79Jun 11, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.07Jun 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$0.97Jun 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.05Jun 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.05Jun 10, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.11Jun 10, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.22Jun 10, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.30Jun 10, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.73Jun 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.00Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.60Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.44Jun 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.07Jun 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00Jun 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.00Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 9, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.