Known-Sugar
0x0b44ac4a336396bcd29972f6eca3e26ac0f8ce5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
4333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?
14 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$2.00Apr 1, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$24.73Apr 1, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?$1.23Feb 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$20.00Jan 24, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill every president attend Trump’s inauguration?$3.00Jan 7, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMMystery drones shot down in 2024?$0.00Jan 7, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?$0.00Jan 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$9.83Jan 6, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $10.00Dec 24, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $1.00Dec 24, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US Government shutdown? $1.00Dec 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?$4.00Dec 24, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMystery drones shot down in 2024?$1.00Dec 24, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$10.00Dec 24, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "preexisting condition" be in the manifesto?$0.00Dec 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?$0.00Dec 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the manifesto?$0.00Dec 11, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "deny", "defend", and "depose" be in the manifesto?$0.00Dec 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "preexisting condition" be in the manifesto?$1.00Dec 10, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Brian" or "Thompson" be in the manifesto?$1.00Dec 10, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.