Pessimistic-Mincemeat
0x0b489589fbcfa4cc6a1b2b56734efa432fb49a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 30?
174 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Meta (META) Up or Down on October 30?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
77 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?
19 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will iRobot announce bankruptcy before 2027?
17 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)
12 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.82Feb 26, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$3.79Feb 26, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (February 22)$1.00Feb 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)$2.00Feb 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)$6.00Feb 17, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Discombobulator" in February?$13.56Feb 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?$10.00Feb 9, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Discombobulator" in February?$8.00Feb 9, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$16.13Feb 9, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".