Rundown-Sneakers
0x0b4da7e215a7ba7d1887b7ae6140866cc69de644
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-13.88
Win rate
26%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 9?
339 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 9?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 9?
261 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 9?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11AM ET
176 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8AM ET
165 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-88.61
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
147 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
138 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.03Jun 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.47Jun 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.06Jun 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.32Jun 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.02Jun 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$105.00Jun 21, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$106.06Jun 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$71.67Jun 21, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$71.74Jun 21, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$66.37Jun 21, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$66.29Jun 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$59.45Jun 21, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$14.68Jun 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$40.48Jun 21, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Jun 21, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$15.21Jun 21, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$14.86Jun 21, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.