Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-21.9K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
10276 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-5.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5144 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-2.6K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
5138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-2.6K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-2.6K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
5137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-2.6K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2574 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2574 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2573 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2569 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2569 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 03:20 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 08:21 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:47 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:33 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Nov 15, 11:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity15 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk66 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 3
Avg trade size: $1.7K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 15, 11:03 UTC
Last active: Dec 5, 03:20 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 18:21:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data