Fortunate-Congressperson
0x0b5722dd25873df2d7719322b0b3db95b352eccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$29.89
Total PnL
$0.58
Realised
$3.40
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
145 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.06
$2.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
325 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.11
$1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 1.1¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.72
$1.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.67
$-0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 5.9¢·now 13.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.52
$0.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 7.0¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.28
$0.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.16
$0.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.13
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.50Jul 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.52Jul 25, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.07Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.56Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.15Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.09Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.17Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.13Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.09Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.20Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.38Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.25Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.68Jul 25, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.40Jul 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$1.09Jul 25, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.13Jul 25, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.01Jul 25, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.00Jul 25, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.