0x0b5e70c327441f5a025dcb24ea49d6ff55daf21d
0x0b5e70c327441f5a025dcb24ea49d6ff55daf21d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.40
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-9.22
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$8.40
$0.90
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
1544 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-600.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 1?
1203 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.78
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
1158 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.01
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?
1080 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-38.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?
1046 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-291.77
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?
1009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 1?
895 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?
653 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-231.09
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?
517 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?$2.20Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$2.49Jul 21, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?$3.33Jul 21, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?$5.60Jul 21, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-22?$2.70Jul 21, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?$5.50Jul 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 vs. Sepsi OSK end in a draw?$2.49Jul 20, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sepsi OSK win on 2026-07-20?$1.80Jul 20, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?$5.20Jul 20, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-07-20?$5.30Jul 20, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?$0.41Jul 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?$2.59Jul 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-20?$0.60Jul 20, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$2.08Jul 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-20?$3.89Jul 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$0.82Jul 20, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-07-20?$2.16Jul 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc win on 2026-07-20?$5.14Jul 20, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?$4.86Jul 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?$0.54Jul 20, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.