Wallet digest

active

Activity score

100/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$200.00

Total PnL

$134.77

Realised

$173.48

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$200.00
$166.03
YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
15745 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-110.21
YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
3186 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-59.21
NO
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
185 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-22.20
NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
95 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-6.63
NO
Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-3.60
NO
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-1.02
NO
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-0.75
NO
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-0.86
NO
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026
$0.00
$-0.27

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$33.97Mar 19, 14:41 UTC
TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$39.96Mar 19, 06:51 UTC
TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$58.30Mar 19, 06:37 UTC
TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$3.00Mar 19, 06:26 UTC
TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$100.00Mar 18, 06:14 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$5.36Mar 18, 05:56 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$5.66Mar 18, 05:55 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.35Mar 18, 05:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$22.00Mar 18, 05:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$54.00Mar 18, 05:52 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$44.70Mar 18, 05:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$45.00Mar 18, 05:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$2.30Mar 18, 05:48 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$44.59Mar 18, 05:20 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$2.45Mar 18, 04:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.23Mar 18, 04:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.73Mar 18, 04:47 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$49.00Mar 18, 04:46 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$1.68Mar 18, 03:53 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.44Mar 18, 03:52 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk80 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $71.91
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 18, 02:01 UTC
Last active: Mar 19, 14:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 14:19:18 UTC·src:Polymarket Data