Glorious-Joey
0x0b6ac21029dab2ae1ef8e0b71fbea068023e5ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-515.51
Realised
$-13.25
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
771 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
656 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-265.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
603 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
493 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
367 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
302 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
212 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
116 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
54 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$26.66Aug 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$26.36Aug 14, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$26.69Aug 14, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$5.35Aug 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$26.61Aug 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$26.27Aug 14, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$26.24Aug 14, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.35Aug 14, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$26.50Aug 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$26.28Aug 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.35Aug 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$26.61Aug 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$26.41Aug 14, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $27.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.