Mindless-Province-Lightscreen
0x0b6b6f253bb4ed301dc6b3831cbad11fd4fe280b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$143.45
Win rate
76%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1405 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-140.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1270 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-127.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1103 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-110.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
1045 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-104.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
936 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-93.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
890 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-89.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
314 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-36.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
264 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-17.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
90 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
90 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 27?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.01Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 27?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on May 27?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 26?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Stevens win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$0.00Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill another buyer buy the Seattle Seahawks?$30.00Jul 12, 23:36 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$244.60Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$111.05Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$123.33Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$213.06Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$253.17Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$219.93Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$215.30Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$189.98Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$147.65Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 76 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
76 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $0.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.