Junior-Custody
0x0b6dd680a59af445a69b2b42f418c083f0ea4747
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-0.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
172690 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
85771 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-303.46
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
15127 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-549.99
- YES
Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
1190 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
836 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
677 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.39
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
539 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
170 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$13.63Oct 14, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5$5.50Oct 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$1.00Oct 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$66.40Oct 10, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$1.00Oct 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$30.00Oct 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$979.00Oct 9, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$31.10Oct 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit India in 2025?$4.66Oct 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?$5.80Oct 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$9.28Oct 9, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$11.37Oct 9, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$15.20Oct 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$8.38Oct 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?$8.58Oct 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$20.00Oct 9, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$34.99Oct 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$113.70Oct 9, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$10.11Oct 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$10.11Oct 9, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $75.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 4, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.