Advanced-Panther-Espadrille
0x0b79dd42abd3fd3aeaa8a3853c91b76683effc55
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-149.44
Realised
$16.16
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
1106 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
583 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
266 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
108 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
29 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$5.26May 19, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.33May 19, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$6.20May 19, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.27May 19, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.35May 19, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.33May 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 20, 2026?$0.70May 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.34May 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.79May 19, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.18May 19, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$9.07May 19, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.24May 19, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.20May 19, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$6.22May 19, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.20May 19, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.24May 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.19May 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.04May 19, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.19May 19, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$6.52May 19, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 10:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.