Worried-Modification
0x0b90f343d3e57279b145b3438cc1d3b933b646ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$100.46
Total PnL
$-30.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
33 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$33.00
$11.55
- JUAN MANUEL CERUNDOLO
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
31 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.40
$6.91
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.04
$0.04
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
72 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.72
- YES
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?
52 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.77
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
45 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$21.68Jul 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$19.14Jun 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$20.00May 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in May?$16.00May 26, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$24.65May 25, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$984.01May 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$31.88May 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$985.00May 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$915.17May 23, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$57.30May 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$480.00May 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$221.03May 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$468.00May 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$663.08May 23, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?$72.00May 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$885.00May 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$850.89May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$35.35May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$852.21May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$813.78May 15, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $412.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.