Honored-Whale
0x0b91bce6202231d8f252aee74a6f66ea7b4c186d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$23.91
Total PnL
$-446.72
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.50
$-9.50
- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.91
$-7.09
- YES
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.50
$-0.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3521 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
1837 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1271 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-110.63
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 8?
810 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
589 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-34.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
586 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
258 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 11, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Jun 26, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.16Jun 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Jun 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.06Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.06Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$53.42Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.75Jun 26, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.