Skinny-Loyalty
0x0b983bc7d21697bfa753e1dfffbbc523371e8595
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-684.24
Realised
$108.23
Win rate
75%
108 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 29?
240 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.12
$-0.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 22?
1419 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 26?
1204 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?
1151 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 13?
961 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 29?
883 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 1?
805 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 13?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 2?
645 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 9?
620 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29?$3.00Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$0.67Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$0.75Jul 29, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29?$0.35Jul 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29?$4.00Jul 29, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$0.07Jul 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$1.66Jul 29, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$0.35Jul 29, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$2.47Jul 29, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?$2.12Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?$0.32Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?$0.13Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?$0.50Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 29?$0.78Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 29?$4.00Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 29?$6.94Jul 29, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 29?$2.98Jul 29, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 29?$1.82Jul 29, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
68/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 108 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
108 closed markets, 75% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 108 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.