Leading-Deal
0x0b9afb27f8dc10f406a52856e4c346f7529f8990
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$-16.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
3028 shares @ 79.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
2434 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
1980 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
1944 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-515.13
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?
1708 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-800.59
- YES
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer
662 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
633 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-341.87
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
519 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$590.18Jun 23, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.8KJun 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$346.59Jun 12, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$500.00Mar 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$1.1KMar 10, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$12.00Mar 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$50.00Mar 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$1.2KMar 10, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$124.93Mar 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$43.68Mar 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$606.00Mar 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$301.45Mar 10, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$244.07Mar 8, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$108.00Mar 7, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$144.00Mar 7, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$495.24Mar 7, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$35.20Mar 6, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$35.35Mar 6, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$100.75Mar 6, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$38.00Mar 3, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $276.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.