Real-Dud
0x0b9cc11a302aa91a549c2797f914f05808dd12bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$46.43
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.50
$0.04
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.00
$0.03
- NO
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?
11 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.93
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$19.46Jun 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?$10.86Jun 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$15.97Jun 28, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$65.52Jun 25, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$111.00Jun 25, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?$64.94Jun 18, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$94.60Jun 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$10.59Jun 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$172.10Jun 18, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?$14.00Jun 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$169.37Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?$13.96Jun 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$47.57Jun 8, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$47.64Jun 8, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$30.51Jun 5, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$17.00Jun 5, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$47.18Jun 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$137.83Jun 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$45.88Jun 4, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$7.24Jun 3, 22:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $22.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.