Loyal-Rope
0x0ba72e35057afb3fd60fe2520faf3d896087418d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.08
Realised
$-1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?
303 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-183.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.44Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.03Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2?$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?$0.98Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?$1.38Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$1.47Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 2?$1.53Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2?$1.51Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 2?$1.53Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 2?$1.62Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2?$1.66Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 2?$1.77Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?$1.86Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?$1.66Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 2?$2.08Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3?$2.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 2?$2.02Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?$4.11Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$5.21Jun 1, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.