Awkward-History
0x0bad3210215ece0d70775fea5cf8ba222a1987d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-90.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 11PM ET
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?
192 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
184 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 on March 29?
176 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 22?
142 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 28?
108 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 3?
95 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 20?$2.05Jul 20, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 3?$2.63Jul 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$2.16Jun 2, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$220.27Jun 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$0.27May 31, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$218.46May 30, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$1.14May 24, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$177.20May 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$0.20May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$175.23May 18, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 13 2026?$60.31May 18, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?$180.00May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?$177.12May 10, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?$66.28May 10, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$167.71Apr 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$0.21Apr 26, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?$164.82Apr 26, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 1?$195.52Apr 26, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 26?$0.00Apr 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 13 2026?$58.62Apr 17, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $67.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.