Short-Term-Payoff
0x0bb3ef70625830cc6df761e1ea03a76113ac10bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
6839 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-83.69
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5608 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-130.99
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3226 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
2258 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Barron Trump talks about $DJT by Friday?
2155 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2024$0.00
$-124.78
- YES
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?
2148 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-138.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1948 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
1571 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-30.80
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
1414 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$36.10Nov 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.90Nov 6, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$33.00Nov 6, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?$5.00Aug 9, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Aug 9, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics$10.00Jul 31, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US gain between 200k and 250k jobs in July?$8.00Jul 31, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics$10.00Jul 31, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?$2.30Jul 31, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$50.30Jul 31, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas the shooter a Democrat or Republican?$24.99Jul 26, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic ticket: Male President + Female VP$5.00Jul 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$5.00Jul 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Iran behind attempt on Trump?$5.00Jul 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$10.01Jul 26, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 100-109 times?$50.00Jul 26, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 80-89 times?$0.00Jul 26, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$48.99Jul 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.53Jul 25, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".