Yearly-Dictaphone
0x0bb828cd9d8476ff0a4891e22facaa3381dd08b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$163.32
Total PnL
$0.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 25?
62 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$62.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12?
46 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$46.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on July 2?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$30.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 3?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$25.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 3?$25.00Jul 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on July 2?$30.00Jun 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 25?$62.00May 24, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12?$46.00Apr 11, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 2?$23.02Apr 2, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in March?$6.02Apr 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 2?$23.00Apr 1, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$27.03Apr 1, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 27?$47.27Mar 27, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 27?$47.00Mar 26, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$36.07Mar 23, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$9.01Mar 18, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$36.00Mar 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 17?$33.03Mar 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 17?$33.00Mar 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$27.00Mar 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$9.00Mar 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in March?$6.00Mar 7, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 4?$12.01Mar 4, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 4?$12.00Mar 4, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $320.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.