Red-Affiliate
0x0bbfa6d115e2178e5d88e131056f3930449c9047
Wallet digest
Activity score
22/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-173.15
Realised
$-88.06
Win rate
19%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 10?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?
832 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 11?
161 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 13?
132 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 58°F or higher on March 14?
112 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?
66 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?
60 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 14?
58 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 11?
57 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on March 17?
55 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 12?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 12?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 14?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 11?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 11?$0.00May 1, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 14?$0.00May 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 11?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 10?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 14?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 15?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 13?$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on March 16?$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.