Careless-Armrest
0x0bd0f82a6a5fc3a1d419deca818e6620fa4705e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-955.22
Realised
$-3.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3142 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-205.30
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
1349 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-310.00
- NO
Will Siniša Karan win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?
1149 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-128.40
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
309 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2025 Republika Srpska presidential election?
262 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-17.72
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
208 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
206 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- PIMBLETT
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$100.00Jan 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.31Jan 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2.60Jan 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Dec 30, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.19Dec 30, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.04Dec 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$155.14Dec 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$0.15Dec 21, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.12Dec 20, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.82Dec 19, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.12Dec 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.00Dec 18, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.10Dec 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.08Dec 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.00Dec 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?$1.27Dec 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$2.22Dec 17, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".