Jaunty-Gate-Gastronomy
0x0bd400947db20cc61f82af5ee98f6e5eecbaf2fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$29.59
Win rate
53%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?
1060 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?
991 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?
813 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 29?
728 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?
668 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-144.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 17?
630 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-84.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?
587 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?
436 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?
372 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 5?
370 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$62.48Jul 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?$4.77Jul 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?$23.31Jul 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$1.87Jul 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.18Jul 10, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.05Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.20Jul 10, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.07Jul 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.05Jul 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.01Jul 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.01Jul 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.04Jul 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.02Jul 10, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?$0.21Jul 10, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
40 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.