Smug-Main
0x0bd5d3c5029b11a1ce597103a1bae66c608585d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-346.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on February 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on February 28?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on February 23?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on February 25?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 23?
50 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on February 21?
37 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on February 22?
35 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?
35 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 1?
35 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on February 21?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?$3.04Mar 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?$0.31Mar 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?$0.89Mar 2, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 2?$2.00Mar 2, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 2?$4.40Mar 1, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?$0.80Mar 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?$1.69Mar 1, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?$1.00Mar 1, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?$4.27Mar 1, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on March 1?$6.94Mar 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 1?$7.85Mar 1, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 1?$5.58Mar 1, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 1?$8.97Mar 1, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 1?$1.05Mar 1, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on March 1?$2.52Mar 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -6°C on March 1?$4.80Mar 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 1?$3.52Mar 1, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?$0.52Mar 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 1?$4.12Mar 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on March 1?$0.24Mar 1, 15:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".