Regular-Reasoning
0x0bd9ac626ff2182fd8bc8da30ed6be77ea688843
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-430.82
Realised
$161.60
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Brentford FC?
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$262.50
$202.50
- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Brentford FC?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$260.00
$215.00
- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Brentford FC?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$247.50
$197.50
- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 Brentford FC?
448 shares @ 5.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$223.91
$197.91
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
297 shares @ 64.2¢·now 69.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$206.95
$16.09
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
171 shares @ 77.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$163.00
$30.83
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$129.00
$-17.00
- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 0 Brentford FC?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$80.00
$30.00
- YES
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Brentford FC?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$45.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
170 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.42
$-11.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?$147.1858m ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 2 Brentford FC?$26.731h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Brentford FC?$51.351h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Brentford FC?$46.231h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Brentford FC?$61.581h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 0 Brentford FC?$51.351h ago
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Brentford FC?$41.101h ago
- YIELD$0.0017h ago
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$100.0018h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$153.583d ago
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5$259.733d ago
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$0.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$249.993d ago
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$50.533d ago
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$78.513d ago
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$79.183d ago
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$2.353d ago
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$2.353d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $133.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 58m ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
