Bad-Squeegee
0x0bdb8a186cd6cdfd9ecfe44e0aeade2e63f2b89a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-298.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
788 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
557 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
343 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
325 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
291 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?$4.17Jul 12, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.35Jul 12, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$3.00Jul 12, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike seven countries in March?$0.00Jul 6, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$2.89Mar 11, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13?$1.00Mar 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?$1.00Mar 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$2.00Mar 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$1.00Mar 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.00Mar 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.00Mar 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$52.00Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$19.12Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$19.42Mar 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike six countries in March?$3.53Mar 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike five countries in March?$6.00Mar 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike four countries in March?$1.78Mar 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike two countries in March?$1.70Mar 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike three countries in March?$0.71Mar 3, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.