Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.8K

Realised

$0.96

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 19

YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on January 14?
2466 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$0.00
$-4.93
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on January 13?
2259 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026
$0.00
$-6.78
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 12?
1811 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$0.00
$-18.11
NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
445 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025
$0.00
$-186.90
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 16?
372 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-0.37
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?
357 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026
$0.00
$-167.76
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 8?
346 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026
$0.00
$-180.68
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 18?
340 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-204.00
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?
333 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-197.02
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on January 19?
325 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-195.00

Recent activity

REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 19?$37.00Feb 28, 13:52 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 19?$9.60Feb 17, 11:41 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 19?$25.65Feb 17, 11:41 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 28?$5.00Feb 4, 12:30 UTC
TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 12-13°F on January 30?$0.45Jan 29, 05:13 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 12-13°F on January 30?$1.07Jan 29, 04:55 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$151.65Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 25?$395.00Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 28?$4.83Jan 27, 10:24 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?$376.47Jan 26, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$23.75Jan 24, 06:17 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 25?$377.30Jan 24, 06:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$43.39Jan 24, 05:34 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$19.22Jan 24, 05:31 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$30.91Jan 24, 05:30 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$16.46Jan 24, 05:30 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 22°F or higher on January 25?$9.20Jan 24, 03:13 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?$35.91Jan 23, 19:05 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?$21.43Jan 23, 19:05 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 24?$8.07Jan 23, 19:05 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry53 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $26.05
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 23, 00:08 UTC
Last active: Feb 28, 13:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 16:24:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data