Nimble-Prizefight
0x0bf5b577b27b92977a1c830da2f622cc297062dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will another model be the top AI model on December 31?
312 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.20Jan 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another model be the top AI model on December 31?$1.60Dec 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.01Nov 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?$0.01Nov 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.01Nov 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.20Nov 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.19Nov 1, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.02Nov 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$2.50Oct 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$5.00Oct 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$7.50Oct 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$15.00Oct 19, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.