Modern-Wolf
0x0bf730d2b5e0b401b4d529841783f50cb6d243a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$547.25
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
94%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?
2798 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- GODJI CHECK
Game Handicap: GC (-2.5) vs eArena (+2.5)
2329 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- NO
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-03-14?
2228 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
1999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
1989 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will Scarlets win?
1970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5
1817 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- UNDER
Vallejo vs. Ribeiro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
1711 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: France vs Austria$0.30Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: France vs Austria$0.40Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: France vs Austria$0.16Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 29?$0.20Jul 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season$0.44Jul 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season$0.37Jul 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season$0.25Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner$0.46Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UB Alma Mater vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner$0.31Jul 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 29?$0.20Jul 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.26Jul 28, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: France vs Austria - Who wins the toss?$0.16Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 European Cup: France vs Austria - Who wins the toss?$1.42Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on July 30?$0.18Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 29?$0.10Jul 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?$0.06Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
66 closed markets, 94% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.