Satisfied-Detector
0x0bf7749aefdb22b7d022a48e9b897cfa4b5773a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$46.62
Total PnL
$-9.73
Realised
$-1.36
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$21.74
$16.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$15.63
$10.63
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.26
$4.26
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?$5.15Jul 2, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?$5.17Jul 1, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$5.12Jul 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$5.14Jul 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$5.13Jul 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$5.07Jul 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$5.09Jul 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-07-02?$5.12Jul 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-07-02?$5.14Jul 1, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$5.12Jul 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$5.11Jul 1, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.