Scarce-Armpit
0x0bf789f9575663bcac1c28e3a79a272953faf4e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$6.28
Total PnL
$-87.53
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$0.13
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 9?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?
1120 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 16?
1110 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 28?
1107 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1?
1099 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 9-15?
1084 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 5?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24?
1070 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.71Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.68Jul 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 4?$2.13Jun 4, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22?$1.1KMay 22, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22?$1.1KMay 22, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?$1.1KMay 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?$1.0KMay 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?$2.13May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 on May 11?$2.12May 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 5?$2.15May 5, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.04May 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 26?$2.13Apr 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 17?$3.15Apr 17, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 3?$3.20Apr 3, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$1.1KApr 1, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$1.1KMar 31, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $518.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 02:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.